Kim Jung Un teeters on a cliff.
To Kim, who was, according to North Korean propaganda — born on a sacred mountain, under a shooting star, (he then descended, landed, and was given a private school education in Switzerland before learning the school-of-hard-knock lessons, like torture, kidnapping, and murder from Dear Old Dad — sort of a hand’s on course in how to be a really successful homicidal dictator. To men like these, Trump is not really a serious problem, as much as just one — of many U.S. presidents — they are required to manipulate along the way.
But I would be very careful right now if I was Kim. Trump is in a bad mood, sort of a dengue impeachment body fever. A missile test over Japan, would a bad idea, multiplied by some factorial. Trump feels like Kim has had warnings, opportunities, and a wave of good PR, he signed an agreement, and now — he owes the world a deal — and Kim, on the other hand, feels he owes Trump, the world, his own people — exactly nothing. One of these two men will turn out to be wrong and I think that reckoning will be sooner rather than later– particularly if Kim keeps testing missiles.
Particularly if one of them even appears to approach Japan.
Being president of the United States, to Donald Trump, is not a game.
It’s not a birthright. It’s not a tactical and/or strategic choice. It’s a responsibility to use the awesome power of the United States for the United States. Kim thinks Trump is a politician, like all the others, and will therefore also take the course of least resistance. Kim is confident in all this because Kim has never been wrong — before.