If you study US politics, politicians and the electorate, which I do, one overriding truth will become clear, the system, as it stands, bends to a super-majority will, of somewhere around 65%. So, let’s say you are a Congressman, intent on promoting an idea, (any idea that can be made into law) and support for that idea over time (a decade is good) hardens at about 55%, in a fairly worded survey, administered by an unbiased polling firm, using a rigid scientific sampling method of likely voters.
Although this 55% is a majority of the public, the opposition number here is what’s important, 45% against something is too much for a system as sensitive as ours. That idea will hang around, but it won’t get past the House, the Senate, and then onto the President, where it begins as law. It still has the Courts to survive — and the biggest problem of all, maintaining support above 50% from the public. In other words, the law isn’t just about what is written down, it bends itself around those things which are popular and abandons things which have become unpopular.
But if support hardens at 65% or above, something magic happens. Congresspeople that have been your idea’s sworn enemy, change their minds overnight, weird coalitions form, groups that never vote together, suddenly all disappear and a voice vote in heard, no names are recorded, and magically a budget passes, or a bill gets through the sausage factory — this is only possible because of the combined support and cooperation of people viciously attacking each other in every other, but less meaningful way.
So, the worst place to be — is stuck in a corner with a bunch of ideas and platform centerpiece — that is opposed by 65% and above of the swing voters, and 75% and above of the opposition.
Which brings me to the Democratic Party of today.
Voters asked if they support Medicare for All as a replacement for private health insurance (good idea/bad idea):
Registered Voters: 40/55
This “Medicare for All” is a staple of the Democratic Platform, if the debate answers are an indication, and these poll numbers, just out, by Maris, are problematic for the Democrats because they are not new. Obama ran into this, he was popular, his plan was not, and this plan is significantly more radical. As if these numbers were not bad enough, that image of every single candidate raising their hand during the first debate — to the question about supporting free health care for illegal immigrants — may end up being the negative defining image of the entire campaign.
Remember when you see the electoral college numbers for Trump in 2020, and they are north of 350 — it wasn’t just Trump Himself that got that total, to do that well, your opposition has to take unpopular positions that are completely unrealistic, and fortunately for Trump, that is exactly what the Democrats are doing.
When reading these polls numbers, consider the source, this is a: NPR/PBS News Hour/Marist poll.
Is free healthcare for illegal immigrants a good idea/bad idea:
Registered Voters: 32/62
Moderate Democrats: 43/47
Put the numbers for these two polls together, and especially among the key, high voting demos, and among Independents — the swing voters with all the power — both of these key Democratic platform policy positions are far out of the mainstream. Look at the numbers below, note the Moderate Democrats number above and you can’t help but notice — how even the Democrats themselves do not support these ideas! I wonder how that happens, how an entire slate of candidates could adopt positions that are not only unpopular with the Independents but is not even a majority in the Democratic Party itself. It just feels like the Party is destroying itself.
Is decriminalizing border crossings a good idea/bad idea:
Registered Voters: 27/67
Moderate Dems: 34/58
Progressive Dems: 54/37
And Finally, an idea that will do more harm than good, reparations.
Reparations for slavery is a good idea/bad idea:
Registered Voters: 26/63
So, the national Democratic Party, led by such completely phony, old, corrupt, partisan party hacks like Senate Minority leader Chuck Schumer and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi who both continue to cling to power, she way past her prime, and he, to power he never should have gotten –while the Party splits in two, over issues Pelosi and Schumer BOTH oppose, and that 65% of the American public — also oppose.
What the hell are they doing?