Trump is not on the ballot, but he’s the biggest name NOT on it.
In 30 days, we have a highly consequential midterm election here in the United States.
I won’t bore you with all the polling because the polling establishment, mainly news organizations, are so in the bag for the Democratic party, they actually lie to themselves and their audience — and then knash their teeth when the election happens, and their lies are exposed. They do this right on the air, despite this being an action that should disqualify them for the job they have. The press in America today is very biased and doesn’t even hide it. I was in the press, I know of what I speak.
But, The IBD and TPP poll, which calls it dead even on the generic ballot, has been accurate in the past and probably is now as well. I think it is fairly even at the moment because both party bases, the Republicans and the Democrats are fired up. Which means the “set up” for the election will be pivotal and this favors the Republicans a lot in the Senate and is stacked against them in the House.
The Independents will be the swing vote and I predict they swing for the Republicans although only slightly, meaning a 5 or 6 Senate pick up for the Republicans and only about a 10 to 15 seat loss in the House. If they lose more than 23, Pelosi becomes the Speaker and this would be a disaster for America.
I say this slight Republican edge will be the Independent’s verdict on Trump — because in the past, Independents have tended to vote their wallet and right now, that is a vote for the Republicans and/or Trump.
Black unemployment is at an all-time low and that is the big reason (and Kanye West) I think blacks will vote for Trump candidates in numbers like the Republicans have never seen. This will be about 25% of the black vote, which looks awful for the Republicans until you consider they normally get a third of that.
Hispanic unemployment is also at an all-time low and Hispanics, in general, gave Trump 30% to 35% of the vote — a number he may exceed by 10% this time! Polling, because of the methodology employed by these dishonest news organizations — will NOT reflect either of these two changes in his base supporter profile, until after this election.
I think women will continue to support Republicans because they don’t always vote the way the Democratic establishment orders them too and/or expects them too. Liberals forget that when you attack men as a class, you are attacking their sons, husbands, brothers and best friends, many of whom they respect as much or more than the important women in their lives. If Democrats got this point, Kavanaugh could have been stopped. The Democratic attack on him didn’t just fail, is also attacked due process, something woman in general — are MORE supportive of — than men!
As I listened to Diane Feinstein FINALLY comment on his judicial record, just this morning (!!) I was stunned. This was the attack line that could have gotten traction, but it was ignored by Schumer who is a smear artist and does NOT understand any other tactics. The Democrats really need to look hard at his leadership, I know he brings in the corporate bucks, but at what cost?
As a result, I believe this election will not just be a huge failure for the party — it should be the last election we have to deal with the crazy leadership asserted by Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer, the two worst leaders the party has had in leadership roles — in over 100 years.
I also think this will be the end of Heidi Heitkamp on the national stage, she being the wonderful and brilliant Senator from North Dakota who has chosen foolishly to oppose Kavanaugh, — and this saddens me deeply — she was the best and the brightest on the Democratic ship of fools and if she could have steered the caucus, instead of being constantly victimized by it, the Democrats would be looking at a completely different mid-term result.