China plans to invade Taiwan II
The Faithful Five checked in yesterday with 2 big questions; the first question was How do you know this (that China is planning a Taiwan invasion) and when exactly will it occur?
The data concerning how I know this is complicated — as is the answer to when –because decisions like this are always subject to NOT going forward.
Military planners put the work in, plan attacks down to the final stages BUT do not give the final go ahead, that decision is usually made by political leaders that consider lots of factors other than whether the actual attack will be a success. The Reuters snippet below is a great illustration of just how the politics of this region will impact the Chinese leaderships decision whether or nor they give the go ahead this year, or in some future year.
I view this attack as inevitable over the long term, unless Japan and the other regional powers including every member of the ASEAN coalition — become stronger relative to China — which likes to bully smaller nations and has done so profitably for 2 decades now. Read below and think critically about why this is the Chinese position IF they aren’t setting up this invasion.
Chinese Premier Li Keqiang told Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe on Friday that his country should stop interfering and hyping up the South China Sea issue, as the dispute took center stage at a key regional summit in Mongolia.
China has refused to recognize Tuesday’s ruling by an arbitration court in The Hague invalidating China’s vast claims in the South China Sea and did not take part in the proceedings. It has reacted angrily to calls by Western countries and Japan for the decision to be adhered to.
Meeting in the Mongolian capital Ulaanbaatar, Li told Abe that China’s stance on the South China Sea was completely in line with international law, state news agency Xinhua reported.