by Karl Spain
And so the stage is set.
On one side stand President Obama and his cast of liberal supporters; only the diehard left is with him on this one…for a nuclear deal with Iran that will probably allow them to build a bomb within 5 years…
Bibi Netanyahu, the speech maker & John Boehner, the invitee, the Republicans, half the Jews in America, 65% of the Jews in Israeli, and the leaders of every Arab ally we have.
In a nutshell, one of these contenders is lying.
Obama believes he has a deal that stops enrichment beyond 20%, limits the number of centrifuges and allows verification or he doesn’t; but only he knows since he’s doing the negotiating. Correction: Wendy Sherman is doing the negotiating and she’s the same negotiator that let the North Koreans literally build a bomb right under her nose during the Clinton administration.
That’s an important correction; the President might very well believe he has something he doesn’t. Either way, the President has two principles in his mind he’s attempting to preserve, and the first is tied to the second.
The President believes the Iranians could act reasonably and do a deal clearly in their overall interest (no more sanctions which are threatening the regime internally although we don’t see reporting of this) if the irrational hatred of Israel and their policies was removed from the formula and the President believes Netanyahu himself is the living embodiment of an unreasonableness that actually causes this hatred.
Netanyahu believes the President is naïve, that the Iranians are playing him and that they are secretly working hard at bomb fabrication, even of a warhead for a missile with a fissile plug shaped from uranium, in other words, a nuclear warhead for a missile, not just a bomb. Netanyahu’s thinking and the President’s on this issue couldn’t be more polar opposite and as a mathematician I can tell you — no one can be sure right now, which of the two of them is correct.
The reason for this is free will. It’s a powerful force and given the right circumstances can bring about transformative change. Is this one of those times?
That will boil down to one man actually, the Supreme leader of Iran, the Ayatollah Khamenei. If Obama is right, he can be trusted to abide by this agreement and won’t use the wealth from the lifting of sanctions to push bomb development even harder. If he’s wrong, the Iranians will finally reach the fabrication stage of their program and build, then test, then miniaturize a bomb.
I really hope Obama is correct, but I just don’t think so. Khamenei is the problem. Under normal circumstances Obama’s approach gets the nod every time but lets face the reality of who this guy really is, what he believes and what that means for Israel.
Any deal without a complete reversal of the nuclear enrichment program and good verification protocols is not a good deal and I don’t see Khamenei doing this under any circumstances, he’s a believer all the way and that must be factored in to the administrations calculus more than it has.
The reasonable thing to do for Iran from Khamenei’s point of view is not the same as any countries in the west, and that’s a fact. He’s an Ayatollah, the President’s an Ivy leaguer, the president sees the exponential good from a partnership and reduction of hostilities and the Ayatollah is a net sum thinker that believes our wealth is stolen from them — and killing us is justice for that and justice to God, for our insulting, infidel ways. A good deal with someone in bad faith is worse than no deal at all.